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THE POLITICS OF
ECONOMICS by Jay Hanson --
www.dieoff.org
Milton Friedman is probably the best known and most widely
respected free-market economist in the world. In 1976, Friedman won the Nobel
Prize for economics. In 1989, Friedman's FREE TO CHOOSE was the best
selling nonfiction book in the United States and it was translated into most
major languages. Here Friedman identifies the origin of his free-market
political crusade: "Adam Smith's key insight was that both parties to an
exchange can benefit and that, so long as cooperation is strictly voluntary, no
exchange will take place unless both parties do benefit." [1] Since economists
do not explicitly define "benefit" -- let alone measure it -- one might ask how
Friedman could possibly know? In fact, he doesn't -- Friedman is imposing his
personal values on others. It's the "politics of economics".
NORMATIVE AGENDA In
the 1870s, William Stanley Jevons explicitly defined economics as normative:
"... the mechanics of utility and self-interest ... to satisfy our wants to the
utmost with the least effort -- to procure the greatest amount of what is
desirable at the expense of the least desirable -- in other words, to maximize
pleasure, is the problem of economics." [2]
VALUE-LADEN TERMS In pursuit of the normative
agenda, economics adopted value-laden terms:
"The vocabulary of physics is amoral -- not antimoral, but
amoral. Mass, force, and velocity have no moral implications because the laws
describing them have no alternatives. The vocabulary of economics, in contrast,
abounds in ethical terms. It is impossible to define 'good,' 'service,' or even
'utility' without making ethical judgments. Every object has mass, but not
every object has utility. Moreover, some people may consider a certain object a
good while others do not, but there can be no disagreement about the
equivalence and direction of action and reaction. There is no other or better
way for a body to fall in a vacuum than s=½gt2; this is not because
physicists don't happen to be interested in making this a better world. There
is no unchanging price for a bushel of wheat; and this is not because
economists don't happen to be interested in a stable universe. The price of
wheat depends upon what people do, but bodies fall as they do regardless of
what people do or think.
"Economics is not value free, and no amount of abstraction
can make it value free. The econometricians' search for equations that will
explain the economy is forever doomed to frustration. It is often said that
their models don't work, because, on the one hand, the variables are too many
and, on the other, the statistical data are too sparse. But the physical
universe is as various as the economic universe (they are, to repeat, both
infinite), and Newton had fewer data and less powerful means of calculation
than are at the disposal of Jan Tinbergen and his econometrician followers. The
difference is fundamental, and the failure to understand it reduces much of
modern economics to a game that unfortunately has serious consequences."
[3]
THE METHOD The
"scientific method" is the best way yet discovered for discovering truth amid a
world of lies and delusion. The simple version looks something like this:
1. Observe some aspect of the universe. 2.
Invent a theory that is consistent with what you have observed. 3.
Use the theory to make predictions. 4. Test those predictions by
experiments or further observations. 5. Modify the theory in the
light of your results. Go to step 3. [
http://www.xnet.com/~blatura/skep_1.html
]
But economists do not use the scientific method. Economists
use the "post hoc, ergo propter hoc (after-the-fact) reasoning" method.
Here's how that method works:
Suppose one were in a primitive jungle village somewhere.
Further suppose, that a child became sick and the local witch doctor was
charged with explaining the sickness. Perhaps he would say the child "must be" sick because someone offended the gods. That's
the kind of method that economists use -- the witch doctor method:
"Those who believe society can best be
understood as a series of markets begin by positing a rational, calculating
individual whose goal is to maximize 'utility.' This premise says everything
and nothing, since it is true by definition in all cases. But it is a key
aspect of the market model, since it is the behavioral part of the logical
argument that whatever the market decides must be optimal." [4]
"Economists enamored of pure markets begin with the theory,
and hang models on assumptions that cannot themselves be challenged. The
characteristic grammatical usage is an unusual subjunctive -- the verb form
'must be.' For example, if wages for manual
workers are declining, it must be that their
economic value is declining. If a corporate raider walks away from a deal with
half a billion dollars, it must be that he added
that much value to the economy. If Japan can produce better autos than Detroit,
there must be some inherent locational logic, else
the market would not dictate that result. If commercial advertising leads
consumers to buy shoddy or harmful products, they must
be 'maximizing their utility' -- because we know by assumption that
consumers always maximize their utility. How do we know that? Because to do
anything else would be irrational. And how do we know that individuals always
behave rationally? Because that is the premise from which we begin. The truly
interesting institutional questions -- the disjunctures between what
free-market assumptions would predict and the actual outcomes -- are dismissed
by the tautological and deductive form of reasoning. The fact that the real
world is already far from a perfect market is ignored for the sake of theoretic
convenience. The dissenter cannot challenge the theory; he can only describe
the real world." [5]
"There is at the core of the celebration
of markets a relentless tautology. If we begin, by assumption, with the premise
that nearly everything can be understood as a market and that markets optimize
outcomes, then everything else leads back to the same conclusion -- marketize!
If, in the event, a particular market doesn't optimize, there is only one
possible inference: it must be insufficiently
marketlike. This epistemological sleight of hand is an astonishing blend that
blurs the descriptive with the normative. It is a no-fail system for
guaranteeing that theory trumps evidence. Should some human activity not, in
fact, behave like an efficient market, it must be
the result of some interference that should be removed or a stubborn human
refusal to appreciate markets. It cannot possibly be that the theory fails to
specify accurately how human behavior works." [6]
THE POLITICS OF
ECONOMICS
What do get if you combine a normative
agenda, value-laden terms, and the witch doctor method? The politics of
economics: "No other discipline attempts to make the world act as it thinks
the world should act. But of course what Homo sapiens does and what Homo
economicus should do are often quite different. That, however, does not make
the basic model wrong, as it would in every other discipline. It just means
that actions must be taken to bend Homo sapiens into conformity with Homo
economicus. So, instead of adjusting theory to reality, reality is adjusted to
theory." [7]
[1] pp. 1-2, FREE TO CHOOSE, Milton
and Rose Friedman; Harvest, 1980; http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0156334607/brainfood.a
[2] p. 25, ADAM SMITH'S MISTAKE,
Kenneth Lux; Shambhala, 1990; http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/087773593X/brainfood.a
[3] pp. 38-39, THE END OF ECONOMIC
MAN, George Brockway; Norton, 1995; http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0393313522/brainfood.a
[4] p. 41, EVERYTHING FOR SALE,
Robert Kuttner; Knopf, 1997; http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0394583922/brainfood.a
[5] p. 9, Kuttner. [6] p. 6, Kuttner.
[7] p 21, DANGEROUS CURRENTS,
Lester Thurow; Random, 1984; http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0394723686/brainfood.a; http://dieoff.com/page162.htm |